Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManagementTime Management + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Time Management game?

Time Management + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 67 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 159 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×5702 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 159 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 159 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Management + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $5.2k → $27k → $17k → $1.8k → $2.9k → $5.7k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Management + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,236)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 155
Announced 159
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Time Management, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Life Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 64,966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $2.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 159 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dungeon CrawlerFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  4. + AgricultureFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  5. + Time TravelFair17 devs · median $2.2k · 19 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair27 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  7. + LootFair34 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  9. + AutomationFair162 devs · median $1.2k · 191 announced
  10. + Bullet HellFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  11. + ThrillerFair42 devs · median $1.1k · 65 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair53 devs · median $1.0k · 65 announced

All 179 pairs on the Time Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metaphor: ReFantazio $69.99 25,224 89% 757k $53M (exactly $52,962,833) ATLUS
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
Magical Princess $14.99 7,636 96% 229k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc.
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator · EA older $9.99 3,124 95% 94k $936k (exactly $936,263) TERNOX
Pumping Simulator 2 older $11.99 1,645 91% 49k $592k (exactly $591,706) Lance Games
Mind Scanners older $16.99 1,095 78% 33k $558k (exactly $558,122) The Outer Zone
The Price Of Flesh older $14.99 1,038 96% 31k $467k (exactly $466,789) Gatobob
For the People older $16.99 729 73% 22k $372k (exactly $371,571) Brezg Studio
Corner Kitchen Fast Food Simulator $13.99 411 85% 12k $172k (exactly $172,497) Purple Heads Games
Virtual Ties: Isekaijoucho Träumerei $34.99 93 91% 2.8k $98k (exactly $97,622) ENTERGRAM,INC.
Help! I'm Turning Into A Mermaid! $29.99 66 95% 2.0k $59k (exactly $59,380) Lached Up Games
TIME TO STARⅡ偶像之路终极版 $12.99 124 70% 3.7k $48k (exactly $48,323) 随便做做游戏组
My Secret Summer Vacation [ZXV-001] $7.99 159 72% 4.8k $38k (exactly $38,112) zhenxin_corp
Eggstreme Farming $6.99 169 73% 5.1k $35k (exactly $35,439) Sagitta Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.