Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 52 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×245 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 67 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 67 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $599 → $479 → $4.7k → $598 → $416 → $598 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,157)
Top 5% $116k (exactly $116,204)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 150
Announced 67
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Puzzle Platformer, Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Multiple Endings, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.79 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.79 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,530 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sable older $24.99 5,365 86% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) Shedworks
Reventure older $12.34 8,451 95% 254k $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) Pixelatto
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise $15.99 1,054 78% 32k $506k (exactly $505,604) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Game Of Fate 3:Clash Of Crowns $16.79 734 85% 22k $370k (exactly $369,716) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time $10.99 986 88% 30k $325k (exactly $325,084) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Paper Beast older $19.99 529 94% 16k $317k (exactly $317,241) Pixel Reef
Yolo Space Hacker older $24.99 208 95% 6.2k $156k (exactly $155,938) BKNLab
Gloomy Eyes $24.99 155 94% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France)
墨心:波云诡船 older $2.99 1,175 88% 35k $105k (exactly $105,398) 1001 Studio
THE GOOD OLD DAYS $19.99 60 85% 1.8k $36k (exactly $35,982) ヨコゴシステムズ
The Strange City $14.99 65 47% 2.0k $29k (exactly $29,230) Newmatic Co., Ltd.
Darkway: Murder of King Mere $7.99 78 97% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) IM/MORTAL Studios, Pierce Papke / Ekpap
Homicide Desk $5.99 82 67% 2.5k $15k (exactly $14,735) Shu'la Lab LLC
Winter Clothing $9.99 41 75% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) 坤舆科技

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.