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Should I ship a Fishing Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Fishing + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 9 developers shipped a Fishing Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Caravanners , made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $380k, ×809 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $450 (exactly $450) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 5% | $384k (exactly $384,266) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Fishing
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Fishing, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 28,375 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FarmingFair
- + AutomationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + AgriculturePoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Disney Dreamlight Valley | older | $39.99 | 22,027 92% | 661k | $26M (exactly $26,425,792) | Gameloft |
| | Sailwind | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,312 89% | 69k | $1.4M (exactly $1,386,506) | Raw Lion Workshop |
| | Wild West Legacy | older | $26.99 | 1,706 39% | 51k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) | Moon Punch Studio |
| | Harvest Moon: The Winds of Anthos | older | $49.99 | 370 73% | 11k | $555k (exactly $554,889) | Appci Inc., Natsume Inc. |
| | Caravanners | · EA | $17.99 | 712 35% | 21k | $384k (exactly $384,266) | Akif Akdemir |
| | Slow living with Princess | older | $19.99 | 580 87% | 17k | $348k (exactly $347,826) | KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE. |
| | Tales of Morrow | older | $14.99 | 96 44% | 2.9k | $43k (exactly $43,171) | GameMechanic |
| | Arctic Anxiety | · EA older | $2.99 | 285 55% | 8.6k | $26k (exactly $25,565) | Arctic Studio |
| | e-River Cabin Journal | older | $9.99 | 54 50% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Wilderness Journal Games |
| | Survive or Thrive | older | $1.99 | 233 98% | 7.0k | $14k (exactly $13,910) | Randumb Studios |
| | Castaway Hand | $9.99 | 22 36% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | BAOCHUAN | |
| | All That Glitters | $4.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | lestudiodetrop | |
| | Missing The Point | $7.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Burner Phone | |
| | DarkShine | · EA | $3.00 | 5 100% | 150 | $450 (exactly $450) | DScorp |
| | Fireside Friends | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | KODgames | |
| | Nick's Text Adventure | $2.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | GXPlay | |
| | Enclaved | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Digital Platforms Co. | |
| | 竿影判赎·噬月之饵 | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | B站刘杜阳哥 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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