Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Walking Simulator?

Character Customization + Walking Simulator

Of 35 developers who shipped a Character Customization Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3302 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 68 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 68 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $5.7k → $899 → $25k → $22k → $1.3k → $1.2k (still earning) → $987 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Character Customization + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $27,120)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,073,567)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 106
Announced 68
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 11,342 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition older $39.99 219,271 94% 6.6M $263M (exactly $263,059,419) Bethesda Game Studios
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim VR older $59.99 9,129 74% 274k $16M (exactly $16,429,461) Bethesda Game Studios
Echoes of Aincrad $69.99 4,108 47% 123k $8.6M (exactly $8,625,568) Game Studio Inc.
King of Retail older $25.99 2,982 88% 89k $2.3M (exactly $2,325,065) Freaking Games
Copycat $14.99 4,611 89% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,073,567) Spoonful Of Wonder
Spirit of the North 2 $29.99 934 85% 28k $840k (exactly $840,320) Infuse Studio
Ranger’s Path: National Park Simulator · EA $19.99 446 76% 13k $267k (exactly $267,466) To-Go Games
Book of Travels older $4.99 1,595 73% 48k $239k (exactly $238,772) Might and Delight
Tree Simulator 2023 older $7.99 671 95% 20k $161k (exactly $160,839) Revmatek
Hachishaku $9.99 456 85% 14k $137k (exactly $136,663) Trash Panda Games
Cumrooms $11.99 166 86% 5.0k $60k (exactly $59,710) Moon Loom Studio
Friendly Steps $7.99 232 65% 7.0k $56k (exactly $55,610) KORO.GAMES
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Fragrance Point $8.00 113 96% 3.4k $27k (exactly $27,120) Halber Ball
Biztopia · EA $7.99 105 68% 3.2k $25k (exactly $25,168) Lymo Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.