Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Shop Keeper

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Shop Keeper?

Character Customization + Shop Keeper

Of 52 developers who shipped a Character Customization Shop Keeper in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.4k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2217 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 96 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 96 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Shop Keeper
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $68k → $9.7k → $8.4k (still earning) → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Character Customization + Shop Keeper: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Median $8.4k (exactly $8,392)
Top 25% $60k (exactly $60,404)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,392,503)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 60
Announced 96
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 380% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Shop Keeper
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Shop Keeper; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Life Sim, Management, Simulation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 17,268 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $8.4k, 1 in 4 over $60k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 3 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
King of Retail older $25.99 2,982 88% 89k $2.3M (exactly $2,325,065) Freaking Games
Roadside Research · EA $14.99 3,991 85% 120k $1.8M (exactly $1,794,753) Cybernetic Walrus
Discounty $19.99 2,322 82% 70k $1.4M (exactly $1,392,503) Crinkle Cut Games
Winkeltje: The Little Shop older $14.99 1,612 88% 48k $725k (exactly $724,916) Sassybot
Leafy Corner $9.99 2,319 96% 70k $695k (exactly $695,004) Fireline Games
Rebirth Pub $17.99 700 92% 21k $378k (exactly $377,790) Seikou Soft.
King of Retail 2 · EA $19.99 275 79% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Freaking Games
Not Monday Cafe $8.99 539 94% 16k $145k (exactly $145,368) Sunny Syrup Studio
Happy's Humble Burger Cult $9.99 477 86% 14k $143k (exactly $142,957) Scythe Dev Team
Deep Blue Sushi · EA $14.99 212 75% 6.4k $95k (exactly $95,336) PaperPixel Games
Mining Merchant $6.99 410 88% 12k $86k (exactly $85,977) Delayed Victory

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.