Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Metroidvania

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Metroidvania?

Character Customization + Metroidvania

Of 24 developers who shipped a Character Customization Metroidvania in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 105 more are announced, ×9.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $540k, ×861 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 105 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 105 announced, ×9.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Metroidvania
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $183k → $11k → $6.3k → $300 → $19k → $20k → $6.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Character Customization + Metroidvania: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 25% $86k (exactly $86,357)
Top 5% $541k (exactly $540,539)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 80
Announced 105
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Metroidvania; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2.5D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 5,288 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $86k, 1 in 20 over $540k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 105 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tails of Iron older $24.99 13,116 87% 393k $9.8M (exactly $9,833,065) Odd Bug Studio
Dread Delusion older $19.99 4,886 90% 147k $2.9M (exactly $2,930,134) Lovely Hellplace
Lost Ruins older $19.99 4,643 86% 139k $2.8M (exactly $2,784,407) ALTARI GAMES
Frontier Hunter: Erza’s Wheel of Fortune older $24.99 1,914 82% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,434,926) IceSitruuna
Tails of Iron 2: Whiskers of Winter $24.99 1,851 79% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,387,695) Odd Bug Studio
Crystal Project older $13.99 2,510 91% 75k $1.1M (exactly $1,053,447) Andrew Willman
Salt and Sacrifice older $19.99 1,738 62% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,279) Devoured Studios, Ska Studios
Gori: Cuddly Carnage older $21.99 1,434 96% 43k $946k (exactly $946,010) Angry Demon Studio
Astalon: Tears of the Earth older $19.99 995 92% 30k $597k (exactly $596,702) LABS Works
LOST EPIC older $17.99 1,055 71% 32k $569k (exactly $569,384) One or Eight, Team EARTHWARS
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Strange Seed $14.99 431 86% 13k $194k (exactly $193,821) Chronicle Games Ltd
Superhero Simulator · EA $5.99 867 73% 26k $156k (exactly $155,800) mightyraccoon! Studios
Voltage High Society $19.99 144 92% 4.3k $86k (exactly $86,357) Platonic Partnership
DAMON and BABY $19.99 87 89% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Arc System Works
Babushka's Glitch Dungeon $5.99 259 98% 7.8k $47k (exactly $46,542) pets club 2
Sunfluffs · EA $11.99 56 100% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) Nuclear Strawberry
Star Soraight Fantasy: Magic to reach the sky $8.99 70 90% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,879) Altoseal and Hoshikuzunoyoru

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.