Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime Character Customization game?

Character Customization + Crime

Of 29 developers who shipped a Crime Character Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 104 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.5M, ×3993 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 104 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 104 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $2.4k → $599 → $204k → $3.1k → $1.1k → $1.0k (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Character Customization + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $41k (exactly $40,553)
Top 5% $2.5M (exactly $2,507,373)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 78
Announced 104
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Open World, Simulation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 294,825 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $2.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 5 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 104 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Schedule I · EA $19.99 288,939 97% 8.7M $173M (exactly $173,276,718) TVGS
Gotham Knights older $59.99 15,688 68% 471k $28M (exactly $28,233,694) Warner Bros. Games Montréal, QLOC
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers older $39.99 18,880 75% 566k $23M (exactly $22,650,336) Aesir Interactive
Saints Row: The Third older $9.99 48,877 95% 1.5M $15M (exactly $14,648,437) Volition
Saints Row older $29.99 5,765 61% 173k $5.2M (exactly $5,186,770) Volition
Saints Row 2 older $9.99 12,848 75% 385k $3.9M (exactly $3,850,546) Volition
Psycho Patrol R · EA $39.99 2,090 88% 63k $2.5M (exactly $2,507,373) Consumer Softproducts
Due Process · EA older $9.99 6,558 83% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,965,433) Giant Enemy Crab
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
The Wife Next Door $16.99 1,951 89% 59k $994k (exactly $994,425) 雪山雞白郎, SnowGBL
It's Only Money $24.99 473 78% 14k $355k (exactly $354,608) Usual Suspects Studios
The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire · EA $18.99 385 81% 12k $219k (exactly $219,334) BEF GAMES
I Know a Guy: Shady Life Simulator · EA $12.99 398 90% 12k $155k (exactly $155,101) Bunch'o'Nerds
BEHEMOTH $3.99 412 88% 12k $49k (exactly $49,316) The Behemoth
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Schedule Store Simulator · EA $14.99 28 92% 840 $13k (exactly $12,592) Alkame Games
Eat the Rich: Greed Games $7.99 26 96% 780 $6.2k (exactly $6,232) Maccima Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.