Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Platformer?

Platformer + Card Game

Only 9 developers shipped a Card Game Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, GOOOOOOAL!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210, ×0.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $898 → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $99k (exactly $98,624)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 29
Announced 12
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer, Card Game
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 55,325 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $210, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
GOOOOOOAL! $1.99 1,652 94% 50k $99k (exactly $98,624) Lohsoft
Bearnard older $16.99 152 97% 4.6k $77k (exactly $77,474) Michał Wikliński
Shovel Knight: King of Cards older $9.99 187 88% 5.6k $56k (exactly $56,044) Yacht Club Games
Nif Nif $19.99 13 92% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Springfox Games
Tacape older $6.99 22 90% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Really Long Birds, Aiyra
Marabundle older $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Astral Game Studio, Clops Game Studio,… (Astral Game Studio, Clops Game Studio, Ops Game Studio, Wired Dreams Studio)
Drawn Down Abyss older $3.99 14 92% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) DaFluffyPotato
The Upper Hand $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Brain Syringe Studios LLC
Pix Eliz Great Trilogy $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) LM2Play Studio, Marion L'asticot
Wraith of the Cards $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Team Wowasaur
Câi & Darren: Code Calamity $0.99 4 100% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Cole Dennie, Colton Thibert
IFCATWORKFORME $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) ELECHEART
NOSTALGIA $2.20 1 0% 30 $66 (exactly $66) SONG
Buttons Deathline $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Blackblood Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.