Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Card Battler?

Card Battler + War

Of 33 developers who shipped a War Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×590 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 50 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 50 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $2.3k → $120 → $25k → $2.5k → $1.6k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $955 (exactly $955)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Top 5% $371k (exactly $370,676)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 84
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Card Battler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,863 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $960, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Commander Quest $11.99 2,804 74% 84k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,599) Flyway Games, Inc.
HEART of CROWN Online $29.99 412 84% 12k $371k (exactly $370,676) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, quziralab.
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
Last Day of Rome older $11.99 162 49% 4.9k $58k (exactly $58,271) Hamsters
长明火计划 Project: Eternal Flame older $19.99 77 88% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) 唐扬Studio
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
Vestiges: Fallen Tribes $24.99 36 80% 1.1k $27k (exactly $26,989) WanadevStudio
Tuggowar $7.99 103 91% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,689) Tension Games
SGS Battle For: Stalingrad older $19.99 38 84% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Strategy Game Studio
Auto Battle Girl $9.99 52 80% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mutual Fun Studio
Dictator Simulator: Gradnar $4.99 84 97% 2.5k $13k (exactly $12,575) GortagonGame
One King Is Enough $10.99 27 77% 810 $8.9k (exactly $8,902) INVISIBLE GAMES
Zombie Epoch:Deck Apocalypse $7.99 27 62% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) HY Indie Game
Blades, Bows and Magic $6.99 24 91% 720 $5.0k (exactly $5,033) Funk Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.