Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Card Battler?

Card Battler + Supernatural

Only 16 developers shipped a Supernatural Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Exorcism Agency, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 45 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 125% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 45 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $55k → $4.3k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 5% $87k (exactly $86,513)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 31
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Card Battler; all of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Deckbuilding, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 553 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $86k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Midnight Suns older $59.99 17,060 82% 512k $31M (exactly $30,702,882) Firaxis Games
Erannorth Reborn older $17.99 386 84% 12k $208k (exactly $208,324) Spyridon Thalassinos
Necroking older $4.99 857 81% 26k $128k (exactly $128,293) KORO.GAMES
Tavern Cards older $29.99 142 72% 4.3k $128k (exactly $127,757) Vadd Game
Exorcism Agency $12.99 222 91% 6.7k $87k (exactly $86,513) YINGGUO GAME
Fury of Dracula: Digital Edition older $12.99 213 72% 6.4k $83k (exactly $83,006) Nomad Games
THE SPIRIT LIFT $19.99 118 94% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) prettysmart games
Deck of Souls $11.99 153 84% 4.6k $55k (exactly $55,034) Bigboot Studios
Fuzz Force: Spook Squad older $14.99 47 89% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Fuzz Force
The Curse Of Mantras older $24.99 14 71% 420 $10k (exactly $10,496) Winter Wolves
Battle Of The Abyss $4.99 33 93% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) 1029studio
Trial of Ariah $11.95 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,302) 30 Minute Games
Argonauts Path · EA $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) LittlePaladinGames
The Bible Roguelike Deckbuilder $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Entertainment Software International
碎镜 Shardmirror · EA $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) 咕咕呱呱
Scarred Mansion $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Focal Point Game Studio
Descent of Yomi $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) R-each

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.