Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Card Battler?

Card Battler + Puzzle

Of 67 developers who shipped a Puzzle Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $46k, ×97 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 91 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 91 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $5.4k → $1.1k → $3.4k → $299 → $1.0k → $1.9k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,491)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $46,051)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 161
Announced 91
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Puzzle; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,870 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Inscryption older $19.99 135,017 96% 4.1M $81M (exactly $80,969,695) Daniel Mullins Games
Yu-Gi-Oh! Legacy of the Duelist : Link Evolution older $39.99 3,905 82% 117k $4.7M (exactly $4,684,828) Other Ocean Emeryville
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Knights in Tight Spaces $19.99 831 69% 25k $498k (exactly $498,351) Ground Shatter
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
Shadowhand: RPG Card Game older $16.99 668 82% 20k $340k (exactly $340,480) Grey Alien Games
Meteorfall: Krumit's Tale older $14.99 756 90% 23k $340k (exactly $339,973) Slothwerks
Ash of Gods: The Way older $24.99 416 80% 12k $312k (exactly $311,875) AurumDust
Koi-Koi Japan [Hanafuda playing cards] older $9.99 957 92% 29k $287k (exactly $286,813) Zoo Corporation
Turnbound $14.99 446 78% 13k $201k (exactly $200,566) 1TK
Infinite Cards $15.99 96 93% 2.9k $46k (exactly $46,051) Tubby Turtle Studios
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
Dead Finger Dice $4.99 230 78% 6.9k $34k (exactly $34,431) Rocket Adrift Games
Roach Post $12.99 57 100% 1.7k $22k (exactly $22,213) KARP GAMES
Dimwood $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Inkspun LLC
Cheater's Table · EA $6.99 69 95% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Lagari
Vinecard $9.99 42 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) SiriusStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.