Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Card Battler?

Card Battler + Psychological

Only 18 developers shipped a Psychological Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Death Howl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1643 the market median. Revenue is up 395% on the market; 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 395% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $3.0k (still earning) → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $420 (exactly $420)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,316)
Top 5% $780k (exactly $780,210)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 27
Announced 35
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 395% on the market, supply 160% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Adventure, Deckbuilding
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,828 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Inscryption older $19.99 135,017 96% 4.1M $81M (exactly $80,969,695) Daniel Mullins Games
Death Howl $19.99 1,301 92% 39k $780k (exactly $780,210) The Outer Zone
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
The Killing Stone · EA $12.99 79 94% 2.4k $31k (exactly $30,786) Question
Lust Poker Club $7.99 89 78% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) Cutie Booty
Card Detective older $3.99 145 73% 4.4k $17k (exactly $17,356) 神探饭店制作组
Muffles' Life Sentence $11.99 12 100% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) BossyPino
Roulette Heist $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) DreamArk Lab
Grimslair $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) ThunderRam Studios
Dungeon & Poker $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Vansonstudio
TwentyOne $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) StuckArcader
FULL BET - FIGHTING CASINO - $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) FlatMountain

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.