Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Card Battler?

Card Battler + Nature

Of 29 developers who shipped a Nature Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×520 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 43 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $299 → $8.8k → $599 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $8.8k (exactly $8,805)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $246,885)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 43
Announced 43
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, PvE
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 5,866 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $8.8k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kabuto Park $4.99 4,329 99% 130k $648k (exactly $648,051) Doot
Zoominoes $14.99 549 91% 16k $247k (exactly $246,885) Starlight Games inc.
Stackmon $13.99 364 75% 11k $153k (exactly $152,771) Riftpoint Entertainment
Hive Blight · EA $12.49 367 94% 11k $138k (exactly $137,515) OptizOnion
Nature Game System $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) North Star Digital Games
The Last Craftsman $9.99 74 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) AuraTummyache
Dimwood $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Inkspun LLC
GUG $5.99 49 34% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) Martian Lawyers Club
Wild Country $24.99 11 54% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Lost Native
Spirit Dungeon · EA $9.99 27 51% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Nemora Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.