Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Card Battler?

Card Battler + Mythology

Of 44 developers who shipped a Mythological Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×182 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 87 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 87 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $2.7k → $1.3k → $20k → $3.0k → $7.3k → $180 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,587)
Top 5% $114k (exactly $114,224)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 100
Announced 87
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Card Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Roguelite
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 3,810 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 87 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Black Book older $24.99 5,306 93% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,977,908) Morteshka
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Aces & Adventures older $19.99 2,220 89% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) Triple.B.Titles
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Pyrene older $14.99 676 92% 20k $304k (exactly $303,997) Two Tiny Dice
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
Ancient Gods older $19.99 275 62% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Hexpion
Stack to Ascension $12.99 331 54% 9.9k $129k (exactly $128,991) Stack to Ascension
Gods vs Horrors $14.99 254 75% 7.6k $114k (exactly $114,224) Oriol Cosp Games
Hungry Horrors · EA $14.99 209 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) Clumsy Bear Studio
Witch and Council : The Card $14.99 182 48% 5.5k $82k (exactly $81,845) G1 Playground
Relief $9.99 112 70% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Billiontail
Talespinner $14.99 53 71% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Flash Cat Games
Cultivation Story: Infinite Sword Realm · EA $14.99 48 75% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) Bid Pond Studio Ltd.
玉言·离光 $6.99 94 67% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) DawnLight Workshop
Summoner's Gambit $7.99 69 52% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) Billion Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.