Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Card Battler?

Card Battler + Multiple Endings

Of 58 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 117 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×1351 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 117 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 117 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $151k → $2.3k → $11k → $11k → $359 → $1.6k (still earning) → $330 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,764)
Top 5% $642k (exactly $641,743)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 111
Announced 117
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Deckbuilding, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 7,349 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 117 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Griftlands older $19.99 13,440 93% 403k $8.1M (exactly $8,059,968) Klei Entertainment
Office Life $19.99 1,725 88% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,034,482) LeiYun Games
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Out Of Hands $17.99 1,322 93% 40k $713k (exactly $713,483) Game River
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Foretales older $19.99 779 87% 23k $467k (exactly $467,166) Alkemi
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Krzyżacy - The Knights of the Cross older $15.99 591 74% 18k $284k (exactly $283,503) Olive Panda Studio
神树残响(Echoes of the Divine Tree) $11.99 601 94% 18k $216k (exactly $216,180) Seventeen horns
Big Winner $12.99 550 82% 17k $214k (exactly $214,335) iFAction Studio
Shambles: Sons of Apocalypse $19.99 340 77% 10k $204k (exactly $203,898) EXLIX
Kumitantei: Old-School Slaughter $14.99 314 90% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Mango Factory
Golden Swirl $19.99 149 92% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Snako Production
Moon Corona · EA $13.99 210 82% 6.3k $88k (exactly $88,137) 不倒龙工作室, Budaolong Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.