Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Card Battler?

Card Battler + Military

Only 13 developers shipped a paid Military Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Knights in Tight Spaces, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 23 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $120 → $25k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $359 (exactly $359)
Top 5% $498k (exactly $498,351)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 43
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 42%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Card Battler; all of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$7.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.00.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 949 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $270, 1 in 4 over $350, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Knights in Tight Spaces $19.99 831 69% 25k $498k (exactly $498,351) Ground Shatter
Heart of Crown PC older $24.99 528 80% 16k $396k (exactly $395,842) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, Japanime Digital
Last Day of Rome older $11.99 162 49% 4.9k $58k (exactly $58,271) Hamsters
Tuggowar $7.99 103 91% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,689) Tension Games
SGS Battle For: Stalingrad older $19.99 38 84% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Strategy Game Studio
Atomic Cards older $9.99 38 73% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) SerVG
SGS Afrika Korps: Tunisia older $24.99 15 80% 450 $11k (exactly $11,246) Strategy Game Studio
Metal March older $7.99 16 81% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) BlueTale
AXYOS: Battlecards older $4.99 24 75% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Axyos Games
DINO MERCS older $6.99 12 66% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Unusual Undertaking
Tyrants $6.99 3 33% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Artifex Parvus
OMEGA 卡牌冒险 $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) OMEGA
Catale · EA $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) FancyCube
Mech EVO $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Benedict King
All-Front Assault $8.99 1 0% 30 $270 (exactly $270) Star Heart Workshop
MyHiStory $7.00 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) BurnRiver, https://space.bilibili.com/1… (BurnRiver, https://space.bilibili.com/17858438)
The Fallen Kingdoms $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Bugra Ozden
World War 3: Card Battler · EA $0.99 4 50% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Angel Star Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.