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Should I ship a Logic Card Battler?
Card Battler + Logic
Of 45 developers who shipped a Logic Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×253 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 66 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $597 (exactly $597) |
| Top 25% | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 5% | $120k (exactly $120,180) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 45 |
| Released games | 97 |
| Announced | 66 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Card Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
- Logic
- effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Card Battler, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelike
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 8,682 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ArcadeFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + GamblingFair
- + 2D FighterFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Party GameFair
- + SolitaireLong shot
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + CRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Drop Duchy | $14.99 | 2,962 89% | 89k | $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) | Sleepy Mill Studio | |
| | Guilty as Sock! | $5.50 | 4,836 89% | 145k | $798k (exactly $797,940) | Demon Max | |
| | GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) | older | $9.99 | 1,266 54% | 38k | $379k (exactly $379,420) | CD PROJEKT RED |
| | Wordatro! | $9.99 | 401 85% | 12k | $120k (exactly $120,180) | Le Poulet | |
| | Queens Casino | $9.99 | 311 98% | 9.3k | $93k (exactly $93,207) | sartahouse | |
| | Heat Death | · EA older | $14.99 | 68 97% | 2.0k | $31k (exactly $30,580) | Gallistrix |
| | Dungeon: Faster & Deadlier | older | $9.99 | 77 76% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $23,077) | Old Oak Den |
| | Words Can Kill | older | $7.99 | 92 70% | 2.8k | $22k (exactly $22,052) | Typing Monkey |
| | Dimwood | $14.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Inkspun LLC | |
| | Playable Mockup | older | $6.99 | 75 89% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $15,728) | 727 Not Hound |
| | High Frontier 4 All | $19.99 | 17 17% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, N… (Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, Nicolas Mondino, Theo Sandén, Leonard Wahlund, Alexander Wahrenstedt, Carl Nordholm, Erico Pizarro Gutierrez, Natdanai Puthom, Olivia Bernardsson, Dag Petersen, Sam Abou-Gabal, Pablo Schmidt, Spilios Kehagias, Aphiwit Lekphet, Zongying Liu, Markus Vikmanis, Kamila Kuzmiuk, Edvin Skogsholm Sanne, Janina Carvajal Ibacache, Adam Kallberg, Ricky Truong, Carl Forden, Robin Christopher Öhman Tejre, Malte Gundhus, Mathias Novakovic, Christopher Vedlund, Ivo Öjhage, Benjamin Grissom, Linus Granskog) | |
| | Musicmenia | $9.99 | 32 90% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | Symphonic Games | |
| | Ba Bị | $4.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | BaBị Electric | |
| | Mech Shuffle | $9.99 | 19 94% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | PillBugGames | |
| | Soul Taker | $10.00 | 15 93% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,500) | SlovGoblin |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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