Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Card Battler?

Card Battler + Logic

Of 45 developers who shipped a Logic Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×253 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 66 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 66 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $1.2k → $0 → $1.2k → $4.5k → $270 (still earning) → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $597 (exactly $597)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $120k (exactly $120,180)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 97
Announced 66
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 8,682 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Guilty as Sock! $5.50 4,836 89% 145k $798k (exactly $797,940) Demon Max
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
Heat Death · EA older $14.99 68 97% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Gallistrix
Dungeon: Faster & Deadlier older $9.99 77 76% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,077) Old Oak Den
Words Can Kill older $7.99 92 70% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,052) Typing Monkey
Dimwood $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Inkspun LLC
Playable Mockup older $6.99 75 89% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) 727 Not Hound
High Frontier 4 All $19.99 17 17% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, N… (Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, Nicolas Mondino, Theo Sandén, Leonard Wahlund, Alexander Wahrenstedt, Carl Nordholm, Erico Pizarro Gutierrez, Natdanai Puthom, Olivia Bernardsson, Dag Petersen, Sam Abou-Gabal, Pablo Schmidt, Spilios Kehagias, Aphiwit Lekphet, Zongying Liu, Markus Vikmanis, Kamila Kuzmiuk, Edvin Skogsholm Sanne, Janina Carvajal Ibacache, Adam Kallberg, Ricky Truong, Carl Forden, Robin Christopher Öhman Tejre, Malte Gundhus, Mathias Novakovic, Christopher Vedlund, Ivo Öjhage, Benjamin Grissom, Linus Granskog)
Musicmenia $9.99 32 90% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Symphonic Games
Ba Bị $4.99 42 100% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) BaBị Electric
Mech Shuffle $9.99 19 94% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) PillBugGames
Soul Taker $10.00 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,500) SlovGoblin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.