Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Card Battler?

Card Battler + Interactive Fiction

Only 16 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forbidden Solitaire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×2267 the market median. Revenue is up 190% on the market; 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 190% on the market, 28 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $17k → $599 → $21k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,333)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 34
Announced 28
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 190% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Card Game
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 2,708 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
Forbidden Solitaire $15.99 2,245 96% 67k $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertai… (Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertainment)
Foretales older $19.99 779 87% 23k $467k (exactly $467,166) Alkemi
Love of Magic older $14.99 417 88% 13k $188k (exactly $187,525) Droid Productions
Love of Magic Book 2: The War older $14.99 132 93% 4.0k $59k (exactly $59,360) Droid Productions
Throne of Monsters 怪物的王座 $12.99 130 92% 3.9k $51k (exactly $50,661) 雏形游戏
Love of Magic Book 3: The Return older $14.99 80 88% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Droid Productions
Apocalypse: The Last RV · EA $4.99 159 68% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) 光年切片工作室
Lust Poker Club $7.99 89 78% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) Cutie Booty
OMEGA 6 The Triangle Stars $14.99 37 91% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Takaya Imamura, Happymeal, Pleocene
Manic Magic Ciena's Desire $12.99 22 68% 660 $8.6k (exactly $8,573) Maidensoft
末世信使 · EA $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Qingyuan PixelBox Network Co., Ltd.
NTR sex with bunny girl!? Strip poker in casino...! $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) ハーフトーンドット
You Die Today $7.99 7 71% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Tabletale Games
Cauldron Caution $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Poisheesh

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.