Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Card Battler?

Card Battler + Idler

Only 19 developers shipped a paid Idler Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Berserk B.I.T.S, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×294 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 30 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 30 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $1.1k (still earning) → $148 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,077)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $3,950)
Top 5% $140k (exactly $139,870)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 55
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 435% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 47%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Idler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,254 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $3.9k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
Berserk B.I.T.S $6.99 667 81% 20k $140k (exactly $139,870) BerserkBoy Games
The Girl's Moving Castle $9.99 181 88% 5.4k $54k (exactly $54,246) Destined game Studio
All About Luck $10.99 134 91% 4.0k $44k (exactly $44,180) Flow Universe
中国战疫 older $16.99 64 76% 1.9k $33k (exactly $32,621) 不吃蛋黄
Idle Quest Simulator $4.99 183 78% 5.5k $27k (exactly $27,395) 所以然
Idle Banshee Alliance older $4.99 41 68% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) okyakusama
Spin Forward $3.99 33 78% 990 $4.0k (exactly $3,950) Bean and Pea Studio
Pacremental $3.99 23 100% 690 $2.8k (exactly $2,753) Erocol
Brominion $7.99 11 100% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Hyralism
Unlimited Top - up $9.99 7 42% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) 快乐蜗牛工作室
Gene Crawl: Dungeon Descent $6.99 6 50% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Jabran
Empire of Zombies $3.99 9 66% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Tomasz Letki

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.