Do I ship it?

Games › Card Battler › Card Battler + Dice

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dice Card Battler?

Card Battler + Dice

Of 27 developers who shipped a Dice Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×5.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $930k, ×1977 the market median. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 46 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 46 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Dice
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $12k → $4.8k (still earning) → $162 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Dice: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $34,431)
Top 5% $939k (exactly $939,130)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 37
Announced 46
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Dice
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Dice; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Card Game, Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 7,658 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $930k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dicey Dungeons 2019 · $4.7M Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023 · $2.3M DICEOMANCER 2024 · $2.1M Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dicey Dungeons older $14.99 10,444 88% 313k $4.7M (exactly $4,696,667) Terry Cavanagh
Gordian Quest older $19.99 5,259 88% 158k $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles older $24.99 3,011 92% 90k $2.3M (exactly $2,257,347) Little Leo Games
DICEOMANCER $14.99 4,749 96% 142k $2.1M (exactly $2,135,625) 超厚皮猪猪 Ultra Piggy Studio
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
SpellRogue $19.99 1,566 86% 47k $939k (exactly $939,130) Guidelight Games
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Children of Zodiarcs older $17.99 351 69% 11k $189k (exactly $189,435) Cardboard Utopia
Dice Legends $19.99 252 76% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Big Bite Games, Ad Luna
Circadian Dice older $5.99 553 94% 17k $99k (exactly $99,374) Shuffle Up Games
Archon Soul $13.99 170 88% 5.1k $71k (exactly $71,349) PolyGryph
RogueDiceR · EA $14.99 108 84% 3.2k $49k (exactly $48,568) GAMPANY
Dead Finger Dice $4.99 230 78% 6.9k $34k (exactly $34,431) Rocket Adrift Games
Dicey Bugs $9.99 40 100% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) ProdigalSon Games
Doodle Dice Monsters $5.99 60 75% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) AuWiMo, Mighty Jungle Games
Ribbit Rogue $9.99 35 91% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) King Krab Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.