Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dating Sim Card Battler?

Card Battler + Dating Sim

Only 11 developers shipped a Dating Sim Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $24k, ×51 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $14k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2793 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 51.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 27 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $61k → $37k → $13k → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $13k (exactly $13,187)
Median $24k (exactly $24,284)
Top 25% $108k (exactly $107,557)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 41
Announced 27
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler, Dating Sim
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,066 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $14k, median $24k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $14k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Office Life $19.99 1,725 88% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,034,482) LeiYun Games
UndercoverAgent older $7.99 940 81% 28k $225k (exactly $225,318) AleCubicSoft
Love of Magic older $14.99 417 88% 13k $188k (exactly $187,525) Droid Productions
FUTA FUCKS FEMBOYS $12.99 276 88% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) Horny Capybara Studio
Hypnosis Card 2 Happy Life $12.99 270 91% 8.1k $105k (exactly $105,219) Naku Kinoko
Monster Monpiece older $9.99 284 70% 8.5k $85k (exactly $85,115) COMPILE HEART, IDEA FACTORY
Helmetman · EA older $19.99 136 79% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) GoniNmimi Games
EdgeLords older $14.99 135 75% 4.1k $61k (exactly $60,710) Sinner's Lotion
Project Skyward $19.99 54 68% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Skyward Foundry
Hypnosis Card 2 $12.99 65 78% 2.0k $25k (exactly $25,330) Naku Kinoko
Football Rising:Zero to Hero $14.99 54 90% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Den Spade
Lust Poker Club $7.99 89 78% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) Cutie Booty
Slave Harem $9.99 44 61% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) artoonu
Forbidden Scrolls : Midnight Whispers $10.99 31 80% 930 $10k (exactly $10,221) Ero Echo Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.