Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Card Battler?

Card Battler + Cyberpunk

Of 43 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Card Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×326 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 67 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 67 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $54k → $20k → $1.3k → $40k → $179 (still earning) → $330 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $779 (exactly $779)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 5% $205k (exactly $204,982)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 79
Announced 67
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Card Battler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.90 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.90 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,087 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $780, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
Nitro Kid older $19.99 410 89% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Wildboy Studios
LUNA $12.99 526 78% 16k $205k (exactly $204,982) Hypnosis Lab, WorkNite Games
Berserk B.I.T.S $6.99 667 81% 20k $140k (exactly $139,870) BerserkBoy Games
System Crash older $14.99 250 83% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) Rogue Moon Studios
Zero Division older $12.99 271 87% 8.1k $106k (exactly $105,609) Robot Cat Limited
Theseus Protocol older $9.99 317 65% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) YueTang(Xiamen)
Into The Grid · EA $14.99 195 83% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) Flatline Studios
HeistGeist $19.90 116 95% 3.5k $69k (exactly $69,252) Doublequote Studio
ARC SEED $14.99 89 74% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Massive Galaxy Studios
The Spire of Mech Zero $4.99 132 91% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) ZZ Game
Ender theater $9.99 28 50% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) FeatherRain
Dicey Hacker 1999 $7.99 20 75% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) HuanMos Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.