Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Capitalism

Of 39 developers who shipped a Capitalist Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $60k, ×96 the market median. Revenue is up 2775% on the market; 59 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 2775% on the market, 59 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $748 → $210 → $12k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,391)
Top 5% $61k (exactly $60,570)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 64
Announced 59
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2775% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Management, Resource Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,228 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Turmoil 2016 · $5.1M Evil Bank Manager 2018 · $598k Lawgivers II 2023 · EA · $424k The Last Federation 2014 · $228k 九州：立志 2026 · $85k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Turmoil older $12.99 13,154 92% 395k $5.1M (exactly $5,126,114) Gamious
Evil Bank Manager older $11.99 1,663 76% 50k $598k (exactly $598,181) Hamsters Gaming
Lawgivers II · EA older $24.99 565 73% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) Damian Bernardi
The Last Federation older $19.99 380 72% 11k $228k (exactly $227,886) Arcen Games
九州：立志 $11.99 235 81% 7.1k $85k (exactly $84,530) Xbgzs
Lawgivers older $6.99 401 82% 12k $84k (exactly $84,090) Damian Bernardi
Imperial Ambitions $19.99 101 81% 3.0k $61k (exactly $60,570) aoiti
Rentlord $4.99 374 70% 11k $56k (exactly $55,988) verty
Global Protocol: New World Order · EA $19.99 85 71% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Dorlion Interactive
Barrage $14.99 78 80% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Cranio Lab
Coin Tavern $9.99 114 85% 3.4k $34k (exactly $34,166) Woven Dream Isle
Spinera $6.99 123 77% 3.7k $26k (exactly $25,793) Arvis Games
SELF MADE: Investment Life Sim $14.99 52 84% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Billmeade Gaming
UltraGirl Alters $19.99 37 64% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) FutureInvention
Rise of Atom $19.99 29 79% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) Glass Bubble Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.