Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + Bullet Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Souls-like?

Souls-like + Bullet Time

Only 11 developers shipped a Bullet Time Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gun Frog, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $1.5k. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 12 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + Bullet Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Souls-like + Bullet Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $64,820)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 28
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like, Bullet Time
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 560 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $64k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hellsweeper VR older $19.99 519 85% 16k $311k (exactly $311,244) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd
Neckbreak older $15.99 415 79% 12k $199k (exactly $199,076) MGP Studios, Solid9 Studio
Gun Frog $4.99 433 94% 13k $65k (exactly $64,820) Zoteling
ONE BTN BOSSES older $11.99 165 87% 5.0k $59k (exactly $59,350) Midnight Munchies
Ball-it Hell older $2.99 368 95% 11k $33k (exactly $33,010) Jamesika
Void -Dementia- older $14.99 29 58% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) J2YSOFT
ODDRooM $14.99 26 96% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) TEAM ODD
Unbroken: The Awakening · EA $10.99 24 95% 720 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) MGP Studios
Duck Paradox $9.99 19 100% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Magic Games
Roll the Ball older $6.99 15 100% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) InBetween Realities
Law of Demons $12.99 5 60% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Sierra Nevada Tunis
BROKEN SOUL : Boss Rush $12.99 4 75% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) DoubleJLabs
Banana Ragdoll $0.99 30 93% 900 $891 (exactly $891) Banana Team
TIME SOUL $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kubrick
Nice Pro? $0.99 15 100% 450 $446 (exactly $446) NicePro
COLD BOOT $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) DIG Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.