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Should I ship a Character Customization Bullet Time game?
Character Customization + Bullet Time
Of 26 developers who shipped a Character Customization Bullet Time game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $540k, ×875 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 64 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $839 (exactly $839) |
| Top 25% | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) |
| Top 5% | $549k (exactly $549,325) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 86 |
| Announced | 64 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Character Customization, Bullet Time; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Shooter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Stylized, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 50% positive over 18,490 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Real-TimeStrong odds
- + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + BikesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + TypingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Killing Floor 3 | $39.99 | 16,493 46% | 495k | $20M (exactly $19,786,652) | Tripwire Interactive | |
| | Blazing Beaks | older | $14.99 | 2,043 84% | 61k | $919k (exactly $918,737) | Applava |
| | Out of Action | · EA | $19.99 | 916 77% | 27k | $549k (exactly $549,325) | Doku Games LTD |
| | Voidborn | $12.99 | 349 81% | 10k | $136k (exactly $136,005) | Xekvera | |
| | Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai | $22.00 | 144 95% | 4.3k | $95k (exactly $95,040) | Fire Land | |
| | Soldat 2 | · EA older | $7.99 | 386 85% | 12k | $93k (exactly $92,524) | Transhuman Design |
| | 异变战区 E.E.R.I.E | older | $6.99 | 441 79% | 13k | $92k (exactly $92,478) | Ureasoft |
| | Samawa Idle | older | $4.99 | 600 65% | 18k | $90k (exactly $89,820) | Samharia Studios |
| | Titans of the Past | $24.99 | 108 83% | 3.2k | $81k (exactly $80,968) | Devil's Dozen Games | |
| | Gun Frog | $4.99 | 433 94% | 13k | $65k (exactly $64,820) | Zoteling | |
| | Spear | $9.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Andrea Cavuoto | |
| | Prop Sumo | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Barrel Roll Games | |
| | Dunk Dunk | $6.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | Badgerhammer Limited | |
| | Quantum Threshold | $23.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $2.2k (exactly $2,159) | Vaki Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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