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Should I ship a Bullet Hell Party-Based RPG?
Party-Based RPG + Bullet Hell
Only 11 developers shipped a Bullet Hell Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Seer's Gambit, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×351 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,949) |
| Top 5% | $220k (exactly $220,353) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party-Based RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Party-Based RPG, Bullet Hell
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,125 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + IncrementalPoor odds
Comparable games
Touhou Artificial Dream in Arcadia 2023 · $347k 
Seer's Gambit 2024 · $220k 
Full Mojo Rampage 2014 · $204k 
Pebble Knights 2026 · EA · $144k 
Epic Battle Fantasy Collection 2022 · $84k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Touhou Artificial Dream in Arcadia | older | $9.99 | 1,157 96% | 35k | $347k (exactly $346,753) | Bar Holographic Otaku |
| | Seer's Gambit | $14.99 | 490 76% | 15k | $220k (exactly $220,353) | Unleash The Giraffe | |
| | Full Mojo Rampage | older | $12.99 | 524 85% | 16k | $204k (exactly $204,203) | Over the Top Games |
| | Pebble Knights | · EA | $9.99 | 479 76% | 14k | $144k (exactly $143,556) | 51% Games |
| | Epic Battle Fantasy Collection | older | $7.99 | 349 95% | 10k | $84k (exactly $83,655) | Matt Roszak |
 | Swords and Sorcery - Underworld - Definitive Edition | older | $9.99 | 93 72% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | OlderBytes |
 | The Lord of the Parties | older | $15.99 | 38 68% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $18,229) | Magic Cube, Dizcon |
 | Divinity Vassals | $11.99 | 36 75% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,949) | Yi | |
 | OLAPU | · EA | $10.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $6.9k (exactly $6,924) | bati, dxriiia |
 | Novivors | older | $4.99 | 46 69% | 1.4k | $6.9k (exactly $6,886) | Limited Input LLC |
 | Dungeons & Donuts | · EA | $14.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | Sas & Sons Game Studio Inc |
 | YGGDRA: SURVIVOR | $4.99 | 34 79% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | BD | |
 | Fur and Fables | · EA | $4.99 | 24 87% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | Double Crow Games |
 | NUSNUR | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Team PARAFOX | |
 | Luminas: Parasite Reign | · EA | $7.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | SOTO Game Studio |
 | Triple Swap Tower | $7.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | LUJA Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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