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Should I ship a Bullet Hell Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Bullet Hell
Only 10 developers shipped a Bullet Hell Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Agony Increment, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 12 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $718 (exactly $718) |
| Top 5% | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Bullet Hell
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 87% positive over 40 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game 2024 · $36k 
FLASHOUT 3 2022 · $33k 
BARRAGE / 铁幕 2018 · $7.9k 
Hovercars 3077: Underground racing 2022 · $4.6k 
Agony Increment 2026 · $4.1k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game | older | $12.99 | 93 91% | 2.8k | $36k (exactly $36,242) | Steelkrill Studio |
| | FLASHOUT 3 | older | $19.99 | 55 61% | 1.7k | $33k (exactly $32,984) | Jujubee S.A. |
| | BARRAGE / 铁幕 | older | $4.99 | 53 86% | 1.6k | $7.9k (exactly $7,934) | ChronoYuki |
| | Hovercars 3077: Underground racing | older | $7.99 | 19 57% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | Airem Motorsport Tech, Airem |
| | Agony Increment | $7.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Parish Softworks | |
 | Rick Henderson | older | $4.99 | 24 95% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | Fat Pug Studio |
 | Star Girls | older | $12.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $3.5k (exactly $3,507) | SilverEdgeGames |
 | Unrelaxing Quacks | older | $5.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $2.9k (exactly $2,875) | LogLog Games |
 | Machinicide | $9.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | Gravity Shenanigans | |
 | Rescuer | older | $19.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | GamesBraz |
 | ScreenSaver Battle | $2.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $718 (exactly $718) | MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA | |
 | Meteor Expedition | · EA | $7.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | GQ |
 | Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | MagusForge | |
 | Void Breaker | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | AA Mini Games Studio | |
 | Molodoy Simulator | $0.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Erich Meurer | |
 | Wawa Cicada | $0.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | 竹知了, Wawa Cicada | |
 | Terrorsepsis | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 659 Records (PTY) LTD | |
 | Asteroid Station | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Moosejaw Software |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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