Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + Building

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Building CRPG?

CRPG + Building

Only 17 developers shipped a Building CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Creator Chronicles, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×2.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×102 the market median. Revenue is up 1000% on the market; 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 1000% on the market, 40 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Building
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $74k → $416 → $6.8k
Outcomes for CRPG + Building: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $36,863)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $152,513)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 57
Announced 40
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1000% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Building; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, City Builder
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,185 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SpellForce 3 Reforced older $39.99 5,784 76% 174k $6.9M (exactly $6,939,065) Grimlore Games
TaleSpire · EA older $24.99 4,391 89% 132k $3.3M (exactly $3,291,933) Bouncyrock Entertainment
Blackthorn Arena older $24.99 3,477 69% 104k $2.6M (exactly $2,606,707) PersonaeGame Studio
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Parking Tycoon: Business Simulator older $12.99 879 64% 26k $343k (exactly $342,546) Geekon
Robber Knight · EA older $39.99 284 64% 8.5k $341k (exactly $340,715) Sartorian
Wanted Raccoon · EA older $16.99 660 72% 20k $336k (exactly $336,402) MAD Sprouts
Balrum older $14.99 728 78% 22k $327k (exactly $327,382) Balcony Softworks
Raiders! Forsaken Earth older $19.99 268 80% 8.0k $161k (exactly $160,720) Creative Storm Entertainment
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
A Hero's Rest: An RPG Town Simulator $24.99 160 67% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) Vanargand Games
Border Town $14.99 253 77% 7.6k $114k (exactly $113,774) GoHoGames
PuPu's Adventure Park $14.99 130 64% 3.9k $58k (exactly $58,461) 西梅树工作室
Herbals tycoon · EA $9.99 123 76% 3.7k $37k (exactly $36,863) Orange Paper Studio
Holonoptic $19.95 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,576) Glazial
The Creator $6.99 43 81% 1.3k $9.0k (exactly $9,017) Mark Miller
Station Master RPG · EA $11.99 19 78% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Telegraph Studios
Alone: Shattered Tribes $10.99 10 90% 300 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Super Llama Games
Aldo: Memory of the Kingdom $6.99 7 57% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Meleiko

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.