Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Boxing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Boxing game?

Character Customization + Boxing

Only 16 developers shipped a Character Customization Boxing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Undisputed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 36 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 36 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Boxing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $35k → $359 → $150 → $898 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Character Customization + Boxing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $29M (exactly $28,779,243)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 41
Announced 36
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Boxing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 3D Fighter, Fighting
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 60% positive over 19,442 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $28M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Undisputed $49.99 19,190 60% 576k $29M (exactly $28,779,243) Steel City Interactive
Punch A Bunch older $14.99 963 74% 29k $433k (exactly $433,061) Pontypants
Tactic Boxing older $9.99 416 77% 12k $125k (exactly $124,675) Stately Eagle Games
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
Voltage High Society $19.99 144 92% 4.3k $86k (exactly $86,357) Platonic Partnership
Ultimate MMA older $5.99 196 51% 5.9k $35k (exactly $35,221) Anton Pushkarev
World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 older $12.99 90 67% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Mega Cat Studios
Fighting Robots older $2.99 228 54% 6.8k $20k (exactly $20,452) HFM Games
Boxing Simulator $7.99 79 79% 2.4k $19k (exactly $18,936) Inogames
PuckOFF older $19.99 25 64% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Kuura Playhouse
Dash'n'Drops · EA $6.99 12 91% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Le Moulin aux Bulles
Glamour Riot · EA $9.99 7 28% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) AquaStudio, ValarFerys
Casual Sport Series: Boxing $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Revulo Games
ChessBoxing Championship $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) MysticOakGames
Super Grapple Day $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) AbsintheandMustard
Donut Riders · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) OUTRISE studios
Code Ragnarok $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) 吴健002

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.