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Should I ship a Character Customization Boxing game?
Character Customization + Boxing
Only 16 developers shipped a Character Customization Boxing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Undisputed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 36 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $240 (exactly $240) |
| Top 25% | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) |
| Top 5% | $29M (exactly $28,779,243) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Boxing
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Character Customization, Boxing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 3D Fighter, Fighting
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 60% positive over 19,442 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Real-TimeStrong odds
- + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + BikesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + TypingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Undisputed | $49.99 | 19,190 60% | 576k | $29M (exactly $28,779,243) | Steel City Interactive | |
| | Punch A Bunch | older | $14.99 | 963 74% | 29k | $433k (exactly $433,061) | Pontypants |
| | Tactic Boxing | older | $9.99 | 416 77% | 12k | $125k (exactly $124,675) | Stately Eagle Games |
| | Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing | · EA older | $14.99 | 210 52% | 6.3k | $94k (exactly $94,437) | Luvseatshawty |
| | Voltage High Society | $19.99 | 144 92% | 4.3k | $86k (exactly $86,357) | Platonic Partnership | |
| | Ultimate MMA | older | $5.99 | 196 51% | 5.9k | $35k (exactly $35,221) | Anton Pushkarev |
| | World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 | older | $12.99 | 90 67% | 2.7k | $35k (exactly $35,073) | Mega Cat Studios |
| | Fighting Robots | older | $2.99 | 228 54% | 6.8k | $20k (exactly $20,452) | HFM Games |
| | Boxing Simulator | $7.99 | 79 79% | 2.4k | $19k (exactly $18,936) | Inogames | |
| | PuckOFF | older | $19.99 | 25 64% | 750 | $15k (exactly $14,992) | Kuura Playhouse |
| | Dash'n'Drops | · EA | $6.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Le Moulin aux Bulles |
| | Glamour Riot | · EA | $9.99 | 7 28% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | AquaStudio, ValarFerys |
| | Casual Sport Series: Boxing | $5.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Revulo Games | |
| | ChessBoxing Championship | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | MysticOakGames | |
| | Super Grapple Day | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | AbsintheandMustard | |
| | Donut Riders | · EA | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | OUTRISE studios |
| | Code Ragnarok | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | 吴健002 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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