Do I ship it?

Games › Board Game › Board Game + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Board Game?

Board Game + World War II

Only 10 developers shipped a WWII Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Burden of Command™, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Board Game + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $471k (exactly $470,812)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 60
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Board Game
Price point
$7.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 83% positive over 701 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Axis & Allies 1942 Online 2021 · $2.9M Hex of Steel 2020 · $647k Second Front 2023 · $643k Headquarters: World War II 2024 · $609k Strategic Mind: Blitzkrieg 2020 · $530k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Second Front older $34.99 613 78% 18k $643k (exactly $643,466) Hexdraw
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Strategic Mind: Blitzkrieg older $39.99 442 84% 13k $530k (exactly $530,267) Starni Games
Strategic Mind: The Pacific older $29.99 538 74% 16k $484k (exactly $484,039) Starni Games
Burden of Command™ $24.99 628 83% 19k $471k (exactly $470,812) Green Tree Games LLC
Panzer Strategy older $29.99 437 64% 13k $393k (exactly $393,169) Starni Games
Carrier Battles 4 Guadalcanal - Pacific War Naval Warfare older $29.99 305 87% 9.2k $274k (exactly $274,408) Cyril Jarnot
Total Tank Generals older $24.99 284 72% 8.5k $213k (exactly $212,915) Noobz From Poland
Board game party $2.99 50 80% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Willgw
Panzer Commander $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Fancing Game Studio
Broken Front $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) KOArtist Games
Archie's War $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Bull Elephant Games
MyHiStory $7.00 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) BurnRiver, https://space.bilibili.com/1… (BurnRiver, https://space.bilibili.com/17858438)
Toon Troops Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) New Angle Digital
Battleships Simulator · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hard Shark Games
Mother Of All Battles $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sean O'Connor
WEGO World War II: Desert War $39.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BK Wargames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.