Games › Board Game › Board Game + Alternate History
Should I ship an Alternate-History Board Game?
Board Game + Alternate History
Of 20 developers who shipped an Alternate-History Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 21 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $29,495) |
| Top 5% | $97k (exactly $97,151) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 62 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Board Game; all of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 539 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Party-Based RPGFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + SpaceFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Party GameFair
- + DragonsFair
- + DogsFair
Comparable games
Curious Expedition 2 2021 · $2.3M 
Scythe: Digital Edition 2018 · $1.9M 
Strategic Mind: Blitzkrieg 2020 · $530k 
Strategic Mind: The Pacific 2019 · $484k 
Carrier Battles 4 Guadalcanal - Pacific War Naval Warfare 2020 · $274k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Curious Expedition 2 | older | $19.99 | 3,861 88% | 116k | $2.3M (exactly $2,315,442) | Maschinen-Mensch |
| | Scythe: Digital Edition | older | $19.99 | 3,164 89% | 95k | $1.9M (exactly $1,897,451) | The Knights of Unity |
| | Strategic Mind: Blitzkrieg | older | $39.99 | 442 84% | 13k | $530k (exactly $530,267) | Starni Games |
| | Strategic Mind: The Pacific | older | $29.99 | 538 74% | 16k | $484k (exactly $484,039) | Starni Games |
| | Carrier Battles 4 Guadalcanal - Pacific War Naval Warfare | older | $29.99 | 305 87% | 9.2k | $274k (exactly $274,408) | Cyril Jarnot |
 | Unmatched: Digital Edition | older | $22.99 | 274 74% | 8.2k | $189k (exactly $188,978) | Dire Wolf |
 | Strategic Mind: Spectre of Communism | older | $29.99 | 193 78% | 5.8k | $174k (exactly $173,642) | Starni Games |
 | Tiny Civilization | older | $1.99 | 2,134 92% | 64k | $127k (exactly $127,400) | 喜人一个 |
 | Strategic Mind: Fight for Freedom | older | $29.99 | 122 86% | 3.7k | $110k (exactly $109,763) | Starni Games |
 | Mr. President | $19.99 | 162 75% | 4.9k | $97k (exactly $97,151) | Exia Labs | |
 | Folk Emerging | $24.99 | 73 86% | 2.2k | $55k (exactly $54,728) | Curious Dynamics | |
 | Bonaparte - A Mechanized Revolution | $24.99 | 72 68% | 2.2k | $54k (exactly $53,978) | Studio Imugi | |
 | Headquarters: Cold War | $29.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $33k (exactly $33,289) | Starni Games | |
 | Danmo Three Kingdoms: Battle of Wits | $11.99 | 82 76% | 2.5k | $29k (exactly $29,495) | 墨春秋 | |
 | SpaceCorp: 2025-2300AD | $9.99 | 73 83% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,878) | Logix Interactive | |
 | Signal Maze | $14.99 | 24 95% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | theArkitect | |
 | Reptilian Rising | $29.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $6.3k (exactly $6,298) | Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games) | |
 | That's My President! | $7.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Kisotik Games | |
 | Voyna | $12.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | HellYeah! |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.