Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game JRPG?

JRPG + Board Game

Only 13 developers shipped a Board Game JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $600. Revenue is up 7420% on the market; 7 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 7420% on the market, 7 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for JRPG + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,514)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,994)
Top 5% $672k (exactly $672,481)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 45
Announced 7
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 7420% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Board Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$12.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,536 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NEOVERSE older $19.99 2,882 84% 86k $1.7M (exactly $1,728,335) Tinogames Inc.
The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake $24.99 897 86% 27k $672k (exactly $672,481) USERJOY Technology Co.,Ltd.
Dungeon Rushers older $14.99 793 63% 24k $357k (exactly $356,612) Goblinz Studio
DOKAPON! Sword of Fury $24.99 354 85% 11k $265k (exactly $265,394) Sting
Children of Zodiarcs older $17.99 351 69% 11k $189k (exactly $189,435) Cardboard Utopia
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
Tanto Cuore older $9.99 168 91% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,350) Japanime Digital, Wedontknow Games
Project: AHNO's Ark $12.99 120 92% 3.6k $47k (exactly $46,764) PHOSEPO
XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ older $10.99 112 75% 3.4k $37k (exactly $36,926) IMaiIna_, INA
Illegal Mahjong older $6.99 148 81% 4.4k $31k (exactly $31,036) AleCubicSoft
Calamity Angels: Special Delivery $29.99 20 50% 600 $18k (exactly $17,994) Idea Factory, Compile Heart
Tower Realm $3.99 103 59% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,329) Charge Piggy Studio , Kitchen Group
Flash Knight Nymphelia $17.99 6 83% 180 $3.2k (exactly $3,238) midnight pleasure
Demon Princess Retreat $3.99 21 85% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) OneShotStudio, SamAFEI
DOKAPON 3-2-1: Super Collection! $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Sting
GalanWarSong $7.99 8 87% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Winwill Studio
Dragon Spira $19.99 3 100% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Exe Create Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.