Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Board Game?

Board Game + Dragons

Only 15 developers shipped a Dragon Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Clank!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 15 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 155% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $204k → $2.7k → $599 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $82k (exactly $81,559)
Top 5% $374k (exactly $373,817)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 43
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Board Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tabletop, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,316 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $840, 1 in 4 over $81k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DogsFair11 devs · median $776 · 6 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Munchkin Digital older $14.99 1,352 76% 41k $608k (exactly $607,994) Dire Wolf
Clank! $22.99 542 92% 16k $374k (exactly $373,817) Dire Wolf
Erannorth Chronicles older $20.99 407 85% 12k $256k (exactly $256,288) Spyridon Thalassinos
Talisman: Digital 5th Edition $29.99 227 70% 6.8k $204k (exactly $204,232) Nomad Games
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Kyvir: Rebirth · EA older $7.99 361 76% 11k $87k (exactly $86,532) Dawnblaze Entertainment
Dark Quest 4 $19.99 136 75% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) Brain Seal Ltd
Tatsu older $9.99 34 73% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) BlueLine Games
King of Tokyo - Richard Garfield $19.99 16 68% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Breakfirst
A Token War older $12.99 16 81% 480 $6.2k (exactly $6,235) UpRoom Games
Dragon Inn $9.99 9 100% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Nordexa
Disc Dungeon $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Fire Titan Games
Nightmare Mines $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) DreamSmith
CHESST $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) ANCIENT MOAI COOPERATIVE
Queendom $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Jellyfish Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.