Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Spelling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spelling Board Game?

Board Game + Spelling

Only 19 developers shipped a Spelling Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beyond Words, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Spelling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $299 → $300 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Spelling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $45,869)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 46
Announced 14
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Spelling
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Spelling; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 193 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
Beyond Words $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) MindFuel Games
CrossCraze older $17.99 54 98% 1.6k $29k (exactly $29,144) ORT Software
Happy Words older $4.99 121 46% 3.6k $18k (exactly $18,114) LAN - GAMES LTD
ACT IT OUT XL! A Charades Party Game older $11.99 50 74% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,985) Snap Finger Click
Watchword $13.99 33 90% 990 $14k (exactly $13,850) Big Quail Games
Mini Words - minimalist puzzle older $1.99 161 94% 4.8k $9.6k (exactly $9,612) Mens Sana Interactive
Letterlike $7.99 29 93% 870 $7.0k (exactly $6,951) Puzzlelike Studios
Ragnar's Chinese Memory Game older $5.99 33 100% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) Ragnar Brynjúlfsson
Jargon $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Damon D'Amico
SPELLCAST $10.99 5 100% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) BEDiBUG Concepts
Grammar Grind $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Skylor Beck
Trivia Tycoon $3.99 8 75% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Jasper Labs
Wordy Online - Classic Word Games $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) ArcoDev
Pyramid of Wisdom $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) FlagmanJeremy
Love Letters: First Bloom $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) MixoGames Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.