Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Board Game?

Board Game + Solitaire

Of 72 developers who shipped a Solitaire Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $200 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 44 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 47 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 72
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $959 → $1.0k → $748 → $178 → $1.0k → $359 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 72
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $200 (exactly $200)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $4.5k (exactly $4,485)
Developers, 2 yr 72
Released games 317
Announced 47
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Solitaire; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 268 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $200, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Root 2020 · $2.3M Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M Faerie Solitaire 2010 · $612k Regency Solitaire 2015 · $201k Faerie Solitaire Remastered 2017 · $177k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Root older $14.99 5,049 90% 151k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,535) Dire Wolf
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Faerie Solitaire older $14.99 1,361 89% 41k $612k (exactly $612,042) Subsoap
Regency Solitaire older $11.99 559 96% 17k $201k (exactly $201,072) Grey Alien Games
Faerie Solitaire Remastered older $14.99 393 83% 12k $177k (exactly $176,732) Subsoap
Mahjong older $9.99 589 84% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Sanuk Games
Mystic Vale older $12.99 384 89% 12k $150k (exactly $149,645) Nomad Games
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret older $14.99 235 73% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Somer Games
Regency Solitaire II older $14.99 210 97% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Grey Alien Games
Alice's Patchworks 2 older $14.99 196 83% 5.9k $88k (exactly $88,141) Creobit
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
Game Pulse Payoff Pitch $49.95 9 66% 270 $13k (exactly $13,486) Fireside Experience
Board game party $2.99 50 80% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Willgw
Guandan $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Pixel Dance
Pro Strategy Football 2027 $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kerry Batts
Kemotaku $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Kojika Games
Card Rogue $4.99 22 63% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Game Tsukuru Kun
Sudoku $4.99 20 75% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Popoko VM Games
Carnegie $9.99 8 37% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) ycyclop games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.