Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Board Game?

Board Game + Sokoban

Of 23 developers who shipped a Sokoban Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $90 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 10 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $89 → $30 → $90 → $89 → $269 → $449 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $449 (exactly $449)
Top 5% $4.4k (exactly $4,395)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 81
Announced 10
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Sokoban; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Logic, Puzzle
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Cartoon
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 130 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $440, 1 in 20 over $4.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dr. Kobushi's Labyrinthine Laboratory 2022 · $15k Piggy Gambit 2023 · $12k Signal Maze 2025 · $11k Animal Planner 2023 · $10k Unlock The King 2019 · $9.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dr. Kobushi's Labyrinthine Laboratory older $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Symbolic Software
Piggy Gambit older $7.99 48 93% 1.4k $12k (exactly $11,506) Tofu Soup
Signal Maze $14.99 24 95% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) theArkitect
Animal Planner older $4.99 70 98% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,479) PawPaw Games
Unlock The King older $0.99 329 95% 9.9k $9.8k (exactly $9,771) Minimol Games
Swim Out older $5.99 40 65% 1.2k $7.2k (exactly $7,188) Lozange Lab
Fluffy Cubed older $1.99 97 93% 2.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,791) Naoka Games
Chess Brain: Dark Troops older $2.99 64 93% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,741) Caio Flavio
War Mines: WW1 older $3.99 46 93% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Wild Pepper Games
Chess Brain older $0.99 156 89% 4.7k $4.6k (exactly $4,633) Caio Flavio
Mate'Morphosis $2.99 49 95% 1.5k $4.4k (exactly $4,395) WiseMonkeES, Bruder Studio
Black Pieces Move First $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Enchant Games
Fluffy Arena $1.99 13 100% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Pet Party
Morphing Blocks $0.99 17 100% 510 $505 (exactly $505) J. TAO
Color Block Escape $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) FWGames
Cat Block - Sliding Puzzle $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) ZT-Studio
胞-胞实验室 Cell-Cell Lab $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) BABA Games, Yun Fan Studio
Mills of Morris $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Nedermann Zsolt
Dream Kitten $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) SmartGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.