Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Board Game?

Board Game + Science

Only 9 developers shipped a Science Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cell Command, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. Revenue is down 100% on the market, with 10 games announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 10 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Board Game + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,878)
Top 5% $86k (exactly $85,812)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 29
Announced 10
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,270 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $180, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $85k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Terraformers older $19.99 3,031 88% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,817,691) Asteroid Lab
Nexus 5X older $14.99 884 90% 27k $398k (exactly $397,535) Whatboy Games
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
Evolution Board Game older $14.99 348 81% 10k $156k (exactly $156,496) North Star Digital Studios
Cell Command $17.99 159 97% 4.8k $86k (exactly $85,812) Alpherior
Trivia Vault: Science & History Trivia older $13.99 85 63% 2.6k $36k (exactly $35,674) Ripknot Systems
3D Math - Ultra older $4.99 218 92% 6.5k $33k (exactly $32,635) Big Mind Games 9000
Nature Game System $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) North Star Digital Games
SpaceCorp: 2025-2300AD $9.99 73 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) Logix Interactive
Rockets Are Super Hard older $11.99 18 77% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Propulsion Games
Prism $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) SplitCriteria
Every Step Counts $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) nipanko
ZeroOne Terminal $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Jolt
Dice Chemist $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Jihwan
24 Grab Points $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Meta Entropy Culture
2187 $2.50 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Lavie Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.