Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Board Game?

Board Game + Robots

Only 10 developers shipped a Robot Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tactical Annihilation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.6k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 9 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Board Game + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,863)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 9
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Board Game
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 142 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus older $29.99 11,279 91% 338k $10M (exactly $10,147,716) Bulwark Studios
Akimbot older $19.99 761 82% 23k $456k (exactly $456,372) Evil Raptor
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Ctrl Alt Deal $19.99 28 85% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Only By Midnight Ltd.
Rise of Humanity · EA older $19.99 27 62% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) Cybernetic Walrus
Dr. Kobushi's Labyrinthine Laboratory older $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Symbolic Software
HexaScape: Cyber Defense $14.99 15 100% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Clockwork Origins
HexLab older $7.99 15 66% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Satur Entertainment
UniWar $7.99 14 71% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Spooky House
Sente $7.99 11 100% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Oxobox Games Studios
NEON Squad Tactics $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Tin Man Games
Biida-Bash $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Silver Thumb Games
Crossed Commands: Collision · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) SlightQuartz
UNKNOWN FACES · EA $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Nerux Studio
PONGBANG · EA $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) LuminDrive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.