Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Puzzle game?

Board Game + Puzzle

Of 315 developers who shipped a Board Game Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 259 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 188 developers shipped in the last year and 259 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 259 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 315
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $959 → $748 → $838 → $298 → $300 → $449 (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 315
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $25,183)
Developers, 2 yr 315
Released games 1,272
Announced 259
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Puzzle; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 55,740 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 181 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 259 games are announced against 188 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes older $14.99 14,331 97% 430k $6.4M (exactly $6,444,651) Steel Crate Games
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel older $11.99 8,097 96% 243k $2.9M (exactly $2,912,491) Conor Petersen, Thunkspace, LLC
Niche - a genetics survival game older $17.99 4,356 88% 131k $2.4M (exactly $2,350,933) Stray Fawn Studio
Root older $14.99 5,049 90% 151k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,535) Dire Wolf
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Lara Croft GO older $9.99 3,274 94% 98k $981k (exactly $981,218) Square Enix Montréal
Dawnfolk $14.99 664 94% 20k $299k (exactly $298,601) Darenn Keller
The Conquest of Go $14.99 581 94% 17k $261k (exactly $261,276) Wolfey Studios
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Turnbound $14.99 446 78% 13k $201k (exactly $200,566) 1TK
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
River Towns $14.99 184 89% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) Frogsong Studios
How 2 Escape: Lost Submarine $12.99 161 83% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Breakfirst Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.