Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Board Game?

Board Game + Psychological Horror

Only 15 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Menherarium: Deadly Dice, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×380 the market median. Revenue is up 8485% on the market; 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 8485% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $1.4k → $7.5k (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,536)
Top 5% $180k (exactly $180,429)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 75
Announced 25
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8485% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Board Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, 2D, Experimental
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,254 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Card Survival: Tropical Island older $24.99 2,962 94% 89k $2.2M (exactly $2,220,611) WinterSpring Games
Solium Infernum older $39.99 1,571 88% 47k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) League of Geeks
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 8 older $29.99 1,134 90% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,020,260) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Warhammer Quest (Classic) older $29.99 897 71% 27k $807k (exactly $807,031) Rodeo Games, Twistplay
Rento Fortune: Online Dice Board Game (大富翁) older $4.99 3,063 50% 92k $459k (exactly $458,531) LAN - GAMES LTD
Danganronpa S: Ultimate Summer Camp older $19.99 761 62% 23k $456k (exactly $456,372) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
THE GAME OF LIFE older $6.49 2,215 73% 66k $431k (exactly $431,260) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Menherarium: Deadly Dice $8.99 669 92% 20k $180k (exactly $180,429) テスカトリポカ
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
Spider Roulette $4.99 143 91% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,407) Kud
Cheat Death $12.99 45 84% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,536) GG Studio
Yclept $6.99 36 86% 1.1k $7.5k (exactly $7,549) Artur Shevale, Valerii Mukshin
Ba Bị $4.99 42 100% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) BaBị Electric
Spin to Survive $2.99 16 93% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Seal
The Others Will Join Shortly $4.49 4 100% 120 $539 (exactly $539) Pladq Games
Uno God $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) JaSan
Question Roulette $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Mysterious Alien

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.