Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Board Game?

Board Game + Nature

Of 44 developers who shipped a Nature Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $419 → $1.9k → $899 → $299 → $899 → $719 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $54,728)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 144
Announced 41
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Board Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tabletop, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,300 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $54k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wingspan older $19.99 9,807 94% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,881,258) Monster Couch
Niche - a genetics survival game older $17.99 4,356 88% 131k $2.4M (exactly $2,350,933) Stray Fawn Studio
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
Folk Emerging $24.99 73 86% 2.2k $55k (exactly $54,728) Curious Dynamics
WORLD OF ART JIGSAW PUZZLES older $10.99 139 92% 4.2k $46k (exactly $45,828) NowakGames
Solitaire Beach Season older $14.99 88 76% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Creobit
Nature Game System $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) North Star Digital Games
ColdRidge $9.99 97 73% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Frog Collective
SpaceCorp: 2025-2300AD $9.99 73 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) Logix Interactive
Wild City $9.99 63 88% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Monka Studios
K2: Digital Edition $14.99 20 85% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Devon Games
Wild Country $24.99 11 54% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Lost Native
Wildrise $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Kenway Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.