Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Board Game?

Board Game + Mythology

Only 12 developers shipped a Mythological Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Touhou: Divine Land -Majesty in Game-, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 27 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $240 → $239 → $0 (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,852)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,834)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 65
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 450% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Board Game
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 92% positive over 106 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $4.8k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Thea: The Awakening older $19.99 3,318 87% 100k $2.0M (exactly $1,989,805) MuHa Games
Solium Infernum older $39.99 1,571 88% 47k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) League of Geeks
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Pendragon: Narrative Tactics older $16.99 115 67% 3.5k $59k (exactly $58,615) inkle Ltd
Cardnarok: Raid with Gods older $19.99 76 72% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Greedy Wolf Studio
Touhou: Divine Land -Majesty in Game- $14.99 53 92% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Oct.Works
Sons of Ra older $14.99 37 70% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Pharaoh Hound Games
Yag older $16.99 31 83% 930 $16k (exactly $15,801) Bonjourcoco
Areteion $19.99 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) juxtapositioned
Match! The 12 CZ Wars $5.99 27 100% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) CorvusCorax Studio
Conjurers $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Carl Treadway
Myth Finders $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) 8floor ltd
Warriors Waifus Mahjong $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Sweet Banana Games
西游释厄传 $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 班超工作室
Codex Combat $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Moosecliff Games
Think and Choice $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OldWilder7
Mythos $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Brain Juice

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.