Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Board Game?

Board Game + Military

Of 33 developers who shipped a Military Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 1045% on the market; 39 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1045% on the market, 39 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $419 → $600 → $390 → $449 → $2.2k → $1.3k (still earning) → $7.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,196)
Top 5% $72k (exactly $71,976)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 120
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1045% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Board Game; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
9 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 655 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $630, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $71k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate General: Civil War older $29.99 8,331 88% 250k $7.5M (exactly $7,495,401) Game-Labs
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Dune: Imperium older $22.99 3,806 94% 114k $2.6M (exactly $2,624,998) Dire Wolf
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Second Front older $34.99 613 78% 18k $643k (exactly $643,466) Hexdraw
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Strategic Mind: Blitzkrieg older $39.99 442 84% 13k $530k (exactly $530,267) Starni Games
Strategic Mind: The Pacific older $29.99 538 74% 16k $484k (exactly $484,039) Starni Games
Heart of Crown PC older $24.99 528 80% 16k $396k (exactly $395,842) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, Japanime Digital
Panzer Strategy older $29.99 437 64% 13k $393k (exactly $393,169) Starni Games
Mr. President $19.99 162 75% 4.9k $97k (exactly $97,151) Exia Labs
No Retreat! The Russian Front $29.99 80 76% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) Cyril Jarnot, Avalon Digital
Bonaparte - A Mechanized Revolution $24.99 72 68% 2.2k $54k (exactly $53,978) Studio Imugi
Space Imperia 4X $22.99 70 92% 2.1k $48k (exactly $48,279) Breich Games
Headquarters: Cold War $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) Starni Games
Danmo Three Kingdoms: Battle of Wits $11.99 82 76% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) 墨春秋
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Stratego® Online $11.99 25 96% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) Wanted 5 Games
Cold War Battles $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Kudos Games
Arete $9.99 22 95% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Molotov Cockatiel Games, Vasilios Kalpa… (Molotov Cockatiel Games, Vasilios Kalpakoglou)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.