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Should I ship a Lovecraftian Board Game?
Board Game + Lovecraftian
Only 7 developers shipped a Lovecraftian Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Inkshade, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.2k against a market of $480. 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) |
| Top 25% | $276k (exactly $276,462) |
| Top 5% | $372k (exactly $371,814) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Lovecraftian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Board Game
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $15.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 30,463 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 13 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Party-Based RPGFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + SpaceFair
- + Alternate HistoryFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Party GameFair
- + DragonsFair
Comparable games
Cultist Simulator 2018 · $6.3M 
Depersonalization 2024 · $3.6M 
Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager 2021 · $2.4M 
Curious Expedition 2 2021 · $2.3M 
Curious Expedition 2016 · $1.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Cultist Simulator | older | $19.99 | 10,496 82% | 315k | $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) | Weather Factory |
| | Depersonalization | older | $19.99 | 6,041 92% | 181k | $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) | MeowNature |
| | Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager | older | $19.99 | 3,939 79% | 118k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,218) | Goblinz Studio |
| | Curious Expedition 2 | older | $19.99 | 3,861 88% | 116k | $2.3M (exactly $2,315,442) | Maschinen-Mensch |
| | Curious Expedition | older | $14.99 | 3,951 91% | 119k | $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) | Maschinen-Mensch |
 | Inkshade | $19.99 | 620 87% | 19k | $372k (exactly $371,814) | Studio Vezelle | |
 | Arkham Horror: Mother's Embrace | older | $19.99 | 565 63% | 17k | $339k (exactly $338,830) | Twin Sails Interactive |
 | The Horror at Highrook | $19.99 | 461 90% | 14k | $276k (exactly $276,462) | Nullpointer Games | |
 | Elder Sign: Omens | older | $5.99 | 441 77% | 13k | $79k (exactly $79,248) | Fantasy Flight Publishing, Inc. |
 | Heretic Operative | older | $19.99 | 88 79% | 2.6k | $53k (exactly $52,774) | C Prompt Games |
 | Divine's Howl | $9.99 | 169 89% | 5.1k | $51k (exactly $50,649) | Sense13 Studio | |
 | Dungeon Mercenaries | $14.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) | Redboy Games | |
 | Grist | · EA | $12.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | Chironex Studios |
 | See-Through Shanghai | $8.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | BLAZER inc | |
 | Feed The Gods | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | TedRed |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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