Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Logic game?

Board Game + Logic

Of 212 developers who shipped a Board Game Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 172 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $200 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 139 developers shipped in the last year and 172 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 172 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 212
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $838 → $1.8k → $299 → $598 → $180 → $419 → $240 (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 212
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $200 (exactly $200)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $17,383)
Developers, 2 yr 212
Released games 702
Announced 172
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Puzzle, Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Family Friendly, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 9,039 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $200, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 114 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 172 games are announced against 139 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dorfromantik 2022 · $12M Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition 2018 · $1.6M Drop Duchy 2025 · $1.3M TerraScape 2024 · $930k Guilty as Sock! 2025 · $798k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
Guilty as Sock! $5.50 4,836 89% 145k $798k (exactly $797,940) Demon Max
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
Hasbro's BATTLESHIP older $12.49 828 82% 25k $310k (exactly $310,252) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
Master of Chess $19.99 290 83% 8.7k $174k (exactly $173,913) BRANE
A=B older $4.99 908 94% 27k $136k (exactly $135,928) Artless Games
Passant: A Chess Roguelike $11.99 363 79% 11k $131k (exactly $130,571) Marc Makes Games
River Towns $14.99 184 89% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) Frogsong Studios
How 2 Escape: Lost Submarine $12.99 161 83% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Breakfirst Games
Islantiles $14.99 61 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Thunderrock Innovations
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
Yes, My Queen $12.99 50 82% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Wall Spaghetti
Body Pay "OMG! The girl with the big titties is too hitting on me!" $4.99 117 73% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Cheese Burger Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.