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Should I ship a Dice Board Game?
Board Game + Dice
Of 41 developers who shipped a Dice Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×8.8 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×2822 the market median. Revenue is up 590% on the market; 74 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,486) |
| Top 5% | $336k (exactly $335,866) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 41 |
| Released games | 60 |
| Announced | 74 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 590% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Dice
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Board Game, Dice; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Tabletop
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,611 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Party-Based RPGFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + SpaceFair
- + Alternate HistoryFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Party GameFair
- + DragonsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dice & Fold | older | $12.99 | 3,491 83% | 105k | $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) | Tinymice Entertainment |
| | Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked | $29.99 | 1,235 82% | 37k | $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) | Resolution Games | |
| | Dice A Million | $12.99 | 1,075 90% | 32k | $419k (exactly $418,928) | countlessnights | |
| | Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? | $24.99 | 448 88% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Sting | |
| | Dice With Death | $13.99 | 779 91% | 23k | $327k (exactly $326,946) | Sea Glass Games | |
| | Heroes of Normandie | older | $29.99 | 212 72% | 6.4k | $191k (exactly $190,736) | Cat Rabbit |
| | Children of Zodiarcs | older | $17.99 | 351 69% | 11k | $189k (exactly $189,435) | Cardboard Utopia |
| | Feed the Scorchpot | $14.99 | 371 87% | 11k | $167k (exactly $166,839) | Moravian | |
| | Circadian Dice | older | $5.99 | 553 94% | 17k | $99k (exactly $99,374) | Shuffle Up Games |
| | Worlds of Aria | $14.99 | 220 90% | 6.6k | $99k (exactly $98,934) | Ludogram | |
| | Die For The Lich | · EA | $11.99 | 275 78% | 8.3k | $99k (exactly $98,918) | Monovoid |
| | Moves Of The Diamond Hand | · EA | $19.99 | 105 100% | 3.2k | $63k (exactly $62,968) | Cosmo D Studios |
| | Amberspire | $24.99 | 58 86% | 1.7k | $43k (exactly $43,483) | Lunar Division | |
| | Cheat Death | $12.99 | 45 84% | 1.4k | $18k (exactly $17,536) | GG Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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