Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Detective

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Detective Board Game?

Board Game + Detective

Of 29 developers who shipped a Detective Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $15k, ×32 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 31 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Detective
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $4.3k → $6.5k → $330 → $298 → $300 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Detective: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,236)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $15,274)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 65
Announced 31
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Detective
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Board Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Investigation, PvP, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 391 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Clue/Cluedo older $14.99 489 89% 15k $220k (exactly $219,903) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
Rough Justice: '84 older $19.99 67 64% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Gamma Minus
Deadly Trick · EA $8.99 141 95% 4.2k $38k (exactly $38,028) Finalblow Co.
Trust No Bunny older $5.99 109 93% 3.3k $20k (exactly $19,587) Friendly Pixel, Inc.
Lateral Thinking Together · EA $5.99 85 43% 2.6k $15k (exactly $15,274) PushForward
Crime Reaper older $8.99 42 90% 1.3k $11k (exactly $11,327) Potato Interactive
Signal Maze $14.99 24 95% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) theArkitect
Scotland Yard – Hunting Mister X $14.99 21 23% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) BitBarons GmbH
초동수사 - 증언/증거 추리게임 $4.99 60 80% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) leeroom shin
Yesterday's News $11.99 18 83% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Rooibos Games
Detective 26 $7.62 15 80% 450 $3.4k (exactly $3,429) TestOneDev
Trailmarks $8.99 12 91% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Trailmarks HQ
Hexa's Gone $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) DevloCore
17 Steps · EA $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) SmilingMiles

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.