Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Board Game?

Board Game + Demons

Only 6 developers shipped a Demon Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Talisman: Digital 5th Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $480. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 18 announced, ×9.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Board Game + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $838 (exactly $838)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $204,232)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 30
Announced 18
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Board Game
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 3,944 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $540, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 18 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Solium Infernum older $39.99 1,571 88% 47k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) League of Geeks
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder older $24.99 464 77% 14k $348k (exactly $347,861) Game Source Studio
Erannorth Chronicles older $20.99 407 85% 12k $256k (exactly $256,288) Spyridon Thalassinos
Talisman: Digital 5th Edition $29.99 227 70% 6.8k $204k (exactly $204,232) Nomad Games
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- Sweep the Board! older $59.99 113 85% 3.4k $203k (exactly $203,366) CyberConnect2
Endgame of Devil older $6.99 964 88% 29k $202k (exactly $202,151) MiniWhale
Kings of Israel older $4.99 93 89% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,922) Alastair John Jack, Lance Hill
The Devil's Chosen · EA older $7.99 20 80% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Opala Project
Mighty Dungeons older $1.99 78 62% 2.3k $4.7k (exactly $4,657) Yohan Launay, Frederic Gaillard
Freak☆Ninja Wars older $19.99 7 42% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Fox .Inc
Nightmare Mines $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) DreamSmith
Liar's Dice $2.99 6 50% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Micester
Queendom $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Jellyfish Studio
The Last Game $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) IonForce Studio
ChessRPG $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nessarosa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.