Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game CRPG?

CRPG + Board Game

Only 9 developers shipped a Board Game CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $670k, ×449 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for CRPG + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,968)
Top 5% $672k (exactly $672,481)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 45
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Board Game
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 87% positive over 1,399 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tainted Grail: Conquest older $19.99 7,589 90% 228k $4.6M (exactly $4,551,123) Questline
TaleSpire · EA older $24.99 4,391 89% 132k $3.3M (exactly $3,291,933) Bouncyrock Entertainment
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
The Legend of Fancy Realm Remake $24.99 897 86% 27k $672k (exactly $672,481) USERJOY Technology Co.,Ltd.
DOKAPON! Sword of Fury $24.99 354 85% 11k $265k (exactly $265,394) Sting
Yaengard older $24.99 121 76% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) Planeshift Interactive
Fated Kingdom older $9.99 260 73% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,922) GameLiberty
Moves Of The Diamond Hand · EA $19.99 105 100% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Cosmo D Studios
Rogue Dungeon older $14.99 49 77% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Cerberus Gate Games
Apollyon: River of Life older $14.99 37 89% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) The Planar Danse
Card Rogue $4.99 22 63% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Game Tsukuru Kun
DOKAPON 3-2-1: Super Collection! $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Sting
Tinker-World: Arrival at Kedhreon $6.99 10 90% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) From The Cave, TibiSoft
Grist · EA $12.99 3 100% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Chironex Studios
Dice & Sword $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Zeoi Studio
Intermundia: Dungeons, Polygons & Magic · EA $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Trinity Team, Excaliber
桌上足球 TableSoccer $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) YongyeGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.