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Should I ship a Crime Board Game?
Board Game + Crime
Only 10 developers shipped a Crime Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Light Fingers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $330 (exactly $330) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) |
| Top 5% | $10k (exactly $10,195) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 475% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Crime
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Board Game
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 84% positive over 194 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $330. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Party-Based RPGFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + SpaceFair
- + Alternate HistoryFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Party GameFair
- + DragonsFair
Comparable games
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition 2018 · $1.6M 
Lara Croft GO 2016 · $981k 
Antihero 2017 · $296k 
Clue/Cluedo 2023 · $220k 
Bright Paw: Definitive Edition 2020 · $30k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition | older | $16.99 | 3,096 88% | 93k | $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | Lara Croft GO | older | $9.99 | 3,274 94% | 98k | $981k (exactly $981,218) | Square Enix Montréal |
| | Antihero | older | $14.99 | 658 86% | 20k | $296k (exactly $295,903) | Tim Conkling |
| | Clue/Cluedo | older | $14.99 | 489 89% | 15k | $220k (exactly $219,903) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | Bright Paw: Definitive Edition | older | $12.99 | 76 69% | 2.3k | $30k (exactly $29,617) | Radical Forge |
 | The Dope Game | older | $4.99 | 188 79% | 5.6k | $28k (exactly $28,144) | Tenth&Hess Games |
 | The Commission 1920: Organized Crime Grand Strategy | older | $14.99 | 29 62% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | 302 Interactive |
 | Crime Reaper | older | $8.99 | 42 90% | 1.3k | $11k (exactly $11,327) | Potato Interactive |
 | Light Fingers | $19.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Numizmatic | |
 | 正宗台湾十六张麻将3 | older | $6.99 | 47 63% | 1.4k | $9.9k (exactly $9,856) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
 | Liar Game | $2.99 | 109 82% | 3.3k | $9.8k (exactly $9,777) | Kark Project | |
 | Ba Bị | $4.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | BaBị Electric | |
 | Seven Sinners | $7.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | BillysBones, Grable Team | |
 | Only Cards | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Grim's Studio | |
 | Charm&Clue | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | 8floor ltd | |
 | ロジック麻雀 創龍 | $10.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $330 (exactly $330) | Nippon Ichi Software, Inc., Systemsoft… (Nippon Ichi Software, Inc., Systemsoft beta, Inc.) | |
 | UNKNOWN FACES | · EA | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Nerux Studio |
 | Specter: The Battle of the Mind | $0.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | AlguemBonitinho | |
 | Escape Team | $15.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Fabian Hemmert |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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